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Prosticks Articles

Hong Kong Economic Journal --- 13 Nov, 2000

ProSticks Patterns Versus Candlesticks Patterns

Traditional Candlesticks emphasize pattern recognition. Their techniques are based on the relative positions of the open, high, low, and close prices. The distance between the open and close price is called the body and is represented by a rectangle. The two lines joining the bodies are called shadows.

Candlesticks followers believe that if the combination of bodies and shadows form certain patterns, that foretells a market top or bottom.

For example, a very famous Candlestick reversal pattern is called the hammer. The prevailing trend is downwards. Then, on a day, the market opens and tumbles, further perpetuating the downtrend. However, after sinking to a 20-day low (or lower), price suddenly reverses its course and rallies all the way upward, closing near day high. This is a very bullish pattern and often signifies the beginning of a pending uptrend.

Figure 1 shows both the Candlesticks chart (left) and the Prosticks chart (right) of Broadcom (Symbol:BRCM). Broadcom is a leading broadband provider in US and is listed in Nasdaq with market capitalization over US$36 billion.

According to the Candlestick chart, bar A is a hammer pattern. Notice that a short body and a long lower shadow characterize a hammer pattern. As can be seen, though the hammer pattern appeared, price did not rise. Instead, it only consolidated for a few days and then continued to tumble. Bar A is a false signal.

Take a look at the corresponding Prosticks chart. Notice that according to Prosticks, bar A is not a hammer. The short body and long shadow combination is absent. The Active Range is long and falling, demonstrating non-resilient selling pressure.

Figure 2 shows the Candlesticks and Prosticks chart of Dow Jones Industrial Average. Notice that for bar A, both the Candlestick and Prosticks exhibits a hammer pattern. The market keeps rising and rising.

To conclude, when an investor detects a Candlestick pattern in a chart, it is better to consult the Prosticks chart to see whether the corresponding Prosticks pattern also demonstrates the same bullishness or bearishness. This way, many false signals can be avoided.


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